The government views agribusiness in Kazakhstan as one of the key future pillars of the economy, and as a result the sector is the target of major investment and policy initiatives. We see poultry and beef production as the big winners, with large-scale financial assistance particularly helpful in modernising these high-cost industries. The effect on grain production will be more complex as feed grains are now being heavily subsidised at the expense of wheat. This will make the grains sub-sector less reliant on exports and more dependent on demand from livestock producers. However, we still see scope for wheat output (driven by increasing yields) and exports both increasing over the coming years.
Key Revisions To Forecasts
* Wheat production to 2017/18: 53.9% to 15.2mn tonnes, down from a previous forecast of 18.8mn tonnes. We expect growth over the coming…
The Kazakhstan Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)’s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI’s Kazakhstan Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
An analytical summary of BMI’s latest key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook for agribusiness in Kazakhstan.
Industry SWOT Analysis
At-a-glance perspectives on the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2017 for the consumption, production and trade of key agricultural commodities.
Consumption forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and, increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
Production forecasts examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
Trade forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
BMI’s forecasts are accompanied by a Risks- to-Outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for key agricultural commodities, based on globally-recognised benchmarks.
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports, our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country, our analysis of fertilizer production as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events on Store and Landing Pages.
Methodology & Sourcing
The Kazakhstan Agribusiness Report is based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
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