Venezuela is on track to record another lacklustre year for agricultural production in 2014, as output price restrictions and soaring input prices are keeping a lid on investment in crops and machinery. Nicols Maduro and ruling Partido Socialista Unido de Venezuela made the choice of continuity in terms of interventionist policies, which will maintain a challenging environment for agricultural and food production. Price fixing in particular continues to be a source of woe for producers unable to meet input costs which are soaring in line with some of the highest rates of inflation in the world. Meanwhile, consumption remains relatively robust causing shortages of some imported goods.
Venezuela’s agricultural industry has been held back over the past decade by poorly executed control policies and limited agricultural inputs. The country’s socialist government has for some time pegged its…
The Venezuela Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)’s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.
BMI’s Venezuela Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.
BMI Industry View
An analytical summary of BMI’s latest key industry forecasts and views, highlighting recent changes and key risks to the industry outlook for agribusiness in Venezuela.
Industry SWOT Analysis
At-a-glance perspectives on the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the agricultural industry.
BMI Supply & Demand Forecasts
Divided into sections based on various diverse sectors in the agriculture market, the chapter provides insight into each market’s agricultural industry, centred on sector forecasts to end-2018 for the consumption, production and trade of key agricultural commodities.
Consumption forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the main drivers of consumption growth: macroeconomic factors, food processing trends, price movements and, increasingly, demand from the non-food sector.
Production forecasts examine the trends influencing BMI’s production outlook: global demand, price increases, public and private sector investment and agricultural efficiency improvements.
Trade forecasts are accompanied by a discussion of the factors influencing a country’s trade in agricultural goods, including domestic demand, global prices and government trade policies.
BMI’s forecasts are accompanied by a Risks- to-Outlook assessment, which examines potential factors that could affect our existing forecast picture and the likelihood of their occurrence.
BMI’s Commodity Price Analysis
Fundamental and technical analysis of the short- and medium-term price outlook for key agricultural commodities, based on globally-recognised benchmarks.
Analysis of headline food and drink forecasts, including total food consumption, per capita food consumption and total sector trade, which provide important downstream intelligence for primary agricultural producers.
Includes relevant articles from BMI’s daily analysis service. These can include long-term projections on agricultural imports and exports, our perceptions of the impacts of economic slowdown on key companies and subsectors within the Agribusiness industry in a given country, our analysis of fertilizer production as well as other relevant analysis of recent news and events on Store and Landing Pages.
Methodology & Sourcing
The Venezuela Agribusiness Report is based on an extensive network of multilateral organisations, government departments, industry associations, chambers and company reports.
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